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winstonc

Are there other methods of estimating probabilities?

lizard

Since the assumptions might not hold in practice, what are the ways around that?

coolbreeze

It may be a good estimate though not hold in practice?

large_goobler

For others who may have wondered the same thing, convex means the object's points all point outwards. Thus this heuristic can't be cheated by making a really tiny squiggly object with huge surface area and minimal actual area/coverage.